Nifty will not respect BULLS

-

In our previous update we had mentioned that Nifty will move lower till 5700-5650 which is intact over medium term.

As seen in the Daily chart , after giving a bearish break in a rising channel pattern, Nifty re-tested the lower trend line of the rising channel and made a Evening star (candlestick pattern) on 13th February and gave a confirmation by opening with gap down the next day.

Currently Nifty is below both the Moving Averages. Short term moving average 20 EMA is on the brink to give a bearish crossover by cutting the 50 SMA from above which will confirm that the trend will be Bearish over medium term and  will drag down broader markets to our above mentioned target of 5600 over medium term.

Now 5970 will act as a strong resistance as Nifty continue to hover below the lower trend line of the rising channel. A move below 5880 (closing basis) can pull prices lower till 5820 over short term.

As per wave perspective, after completing wave v of wave 5 near 6112  prices moved lower by forming double zigzag (a-b-c-x-a-b-c) and currently it is moving lower in the form of wave c on a smaller time frame. However, a move above 5970 will change the wave structure and it will form wave A as it will complete 5 wave structure on downside (impulsive).

In short, as far as 5970 is protected on upside our bias for Nifty continue to be negative as it can move lower till 5820 over short term. Any move above 5970 will push prices higher till 6020/6060 which is 61.8% retracement of the previous down move (6112-5854)


Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Nifty in Ending Diagonal Pattern?

-
Image
 Nifty Daily chart Analysis Nifty is currently exhibiting a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a positive trend. While there is no immediate sign of reversal, there are indications suggesting that the current upward momentum may be losing steam. According to the Elliott Wave theory, there are signals suggesting the formation of a distribution pattern, specifically an ending diagonal pattern. However, this pattern is still unfolding, with one leg remaining on the upside, potentially pushing the index to new all-time highs within the range of 22300-22400 levels. Once this leg concludes, there could be a reversal in the trend. In summary, Nifty is anticipated to climb further from its current levels and may reach a new all-time high in the range of 22300-22400. However, after reaching this peak, a reversal could occur, potentially leading the index down to the range of 18000-19000 levels. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter hand...
Read more

Gold Anticipated Happned

-
Image
 Gold anticipated on 14th Oct 2023 Gold happened on 28th Nov 2023 Analysis In my prior article, I noted that "Gold prices have the potential to climb higher and may reach the $2025-2030 range in the short to medium term." The yellow metal indeed surged towards $2150 levels, surpassing my projected range of $2025-2030 when it was initially trading at $1933 - the anticipated outcome. To read my previous article on Gold, click on the link below https://www.marketanalysiswithmeghmody.com/2023/10/gold-and-elliott-wave-counts.html Presently, prices are following a flat pattern, having completed wave a of wave b, and this wave b is identified as a flat. The next movement could reach a minimum of 80%, translating to $2090 levels, or it might extend to $2150 levels or beyond. Clear-cut indications point towards prices fluctuating within the $2100-2150 range. Currently, prices are recorded at $2053 levels. To sum up, Gold prices display a positive outlook and are expected to fluctuate ...
Read more

ACC: Neo Wave Diametric pattern

-
Image
 ACC daily chart As shown in the above chart, prices are moving in a sideways direction after a stupendous rally, this sideways pattern are a sign of caution as there are high chances of a distribution pattern happening at higher levels. Wave theory suggests that, prices are moving in a Neo Wave Diametric pattern, which is a seven leg pattern (a-b-c-d-e-f-g) and in wave g there is a high possibility of a triangle pattern. Once wave g is over, prices are expected to falter till 1850 levels. The summation is ACC can move down till 1850 levels over short term, once the level of 2100 is broken decisively.
Read more