Decoding Nifty ahead of RBI policy

-
Nifty (Daily Chart)


Last week Nifty fell 2% from the all time high of 10179 levels. Mid caps and small caps eroded all the recent gains which eventually ended up in a pain. 

This week there is an RBI policy meet  lined up and looking at the recent momentum of the benchmark it is quite visible that the negative trend will continue. Nifty as of now have not broken any of the previous lows. Last week it made a low of 9687, thus protecting its previous low of 9685. 

However, looking at the current structure it is possible that several supports are likely to be broken. As per wave theory, after making a high of 10179, prices fell in an impulsive fashion which was completed when it made a low of 9687. The recent 3 day up move is corrective in nature and can be wave ii of wave c on the downside. 

According to Fibonacci projection prices have retraced 100% of wave a. Wave c can extend till 161.8% of wave a which can move down till 9500 levels in near term.

In short, RBI policy might introduce the volatility in the market but the negative trend will continue dragging prices lower till 9500.



Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Nifty in Ending Diagonal Pattern?

-
Image
 Nifty Daily chart Analysis Nifty is currently exhibiting a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a positive trend. While there is no immediate sign of reversal, there are indications suggesting that the current upward momentum may be losing steam. According to the Elliott Wave theory, there are signals suggesting the formation of a distribution pattern, specifically an ending diagonal pattern. However, this pattern is still unfolding, with one leg remaining on the upside, potentially pushing the index to new all-time highs within the range of 22300-22400 levels. Once this leg concludes, there could be a reversal in the trend. In summary, Nifty is anticipated to climb further from its current levels and may reach a new all-time high in the range of 22300-22400. However, after reaching this peak, a reversal could occur, potentially leading the index down to the range of 18000-19000 levels. Join my Telegram Channel :  https://t.me/elliottician1 Join My Twitter hand...
Read more

Gold Anticipated Happned

-
Image
 Gold anticipated on 14th Oct 2023 Gold happened on 28th Nov 2023 Analysis In my prior article, I noted that "Gold prices have the potential to climb higher and may reach the $2025-2030 range in the short to medium term." The yellow metal indeed surged towards $2150 levels, surpassing my projected range of $2025-2030 when it was initially trading at $1933 - the anticipated outcome. To read my previous article on Gold, click on the link below https://www.marketanalysiswithmeghmody.com/2023/10/gold-and-elliott-wave-counts.html Presently, prices are following a flat pattern, having completed wave a of wave b, and this wave b is identified as a flat. The next movement could reach a minimum of 80%, translating to $2090 levels, or it might extend to $2150 levels or beyond. Clear-cut indications point towards prices fluctuating within the $2100-2150 range. Currently, prices are recorded at $2053 levels. To sum up, Gold prices display a positive outlook and are expected to fluctuate ...
Read more

ACC: Neo Wave Diametric pattern

-
Image
 ACC daily chart As shown in the above chart, prices are moving in a sideways direction after a stupendous rally, this sideways pattern are a sign of caution as there are high chances of a distribution pattern happening at higher levels. Wave theory suggests that, prices are moving in a Neo Wave Diametric pattern, which is a seven leg pattern (a-b-c-d-e-f-g) and in wave g there is a high possibility of a triangle pattern. Once wave g is over, prices are expected to falter till 1850 levels. The summation is ACC can move down till 1850 levels over short term, once the level of 2100 is broken decisively.
Read more