Nifty: Selling to intensify ahead of the election results.

Nifty Daily Chart

Nifty has outperformed many  Asian markets from the start of 2019. There can be many reasons like elections, IIP and CPI data. However last week market witnessed heavy selling which was accompanied by FII selling as well. 

Technically speaking, markets which were moving in a higher highs and higher lows have discontinued this formation. Prices are also trading below both the short term moving averages i.e 20 EMA (red) and 50 SMA (blue) but there is no bearish crossover yet. All this indicates that market is in bear mode and can slip further.

From Wave perspective, prices progressed in a three wave formation which was corrective in nature (W-X-Y) In wave Y there was a extracting triangle marked as (a-b-c-d-e). The current fall looks to be an impulse and can move down till 11100 levels where the support of the trendline is placed. It is likely that this trend line will be broken. As of now the index is moving in wave iii.


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