Nifty: Elliott Wave forecast

Nifty Daily chart
Nifty hourly chart


Nifty has witnessed some easing after dynamic fall in last one month. Prices have shown strength at the end of the previous week which is giving some hope to the bulls. However, it will be early to say that it is a reversal. Nifty has reversed from 80% of the previous up move (marked with black horizontal line) which was 7500. From there it moved up and conquered 9000 mark but closed at 8660 levels. There are chances that it will move down from current levels and test 8500-8400 levels but it will not go below 7500. After testing the above level prices are poised to move higher. RSI is relieving from the oversold zone.

From hourly chart, the index had seen overhead supply at 9000 mark which dragged prices way lower after breaking the falling channel. As of now it is moving above the rising trend line as can be seen in the chart. It is possible for it to break this trend line which can be termed as bear trap and then it will surge.

Wave theory suggest that, prices have completed wave a at 9038 and it is on the brink to start wave b lower which can move down till 8500-8400 levels. After that wave c can move up till 9150-9220 levels, which will complete wave a at one higher degree.

The summation is Nifty will test 8500-8400 levels which can be used as a buying opportunity for the level of 9150-9220 levels.

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