MCX Silver and Elliott Wave Analysis
MCX Silver daily continuous chart
Analysis
From the above
chart, MCX Silver has given a bearish break in a symmetrical triangle pattern,
post that prices continued to move in a sideways direction particularly in a
range of 62500-50000. This time prices are poised to move down and break the
level of 50000 decisively. With lower highs and lower lows still intact, the continuation
of the downtrend will lead prices near till 40000 over medium term.
In the lower
panel I have added ADX which is showing that the recent countertrend which lead
prices near till 62500 has no strength. Currently it is below 20 and I firmly
believe that it will start moving above 20 when the major trend starts.
As per wave
theory, I think prices have completed wave i and wave ii and has started moving
down in wave iii which is extended (debatable) so this downmove of wave iii can
reach the target of 43000 over medium term which is 100% of wave i, if it is
extended then it can further tumble towards 161.8% of wave i to wave ii
The summation
is MCX Silver is firmly negative and can sink towards 43000 over medium term
with resistance at 60500 (closing basis).
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